NBA Prop Bets: Indiana Pacers vs Oklahoma City Thunder (June 19, 2025)

The Oklahoma City Thunder face the Indiana Pacers in Game 6 of the NBA Finals at Gainbridge Fieldhouse. Let's take a look at the NBA Prop Bets for Thursday's matchup. The Thunder opened as 5.0-point favorites but the spread has since moved to 6.5, leaving the Thunder at -256 and Pacers at +210. The total points line is set at 222.5, with OVER at -110 and UNDER at -110, meaning the implied expected score for the game is 114-108 Oklahoma City.

• The Thunder (-113) have a 65-37-2 ATS record this season including playoffs, while the Pacers (-108) hold a record of 49-52-2.
• The Thunder have a 55-47-2 O/U record this season including playoffs (meaning 55 games have gone over the total points line, 47 have gone under and two have resulted in a push). The Pacers have a 55-47-1 O/U record.

Scoring Insights

• Oklahoma City has averaged 116.4 points throughout this season's playoffs, while giving up 107.0. Comparatively, Indiana has scored 115.5 per game and allowed 113.5. Looking at their best and worst postseason offensive performances, the Thunder's playoff-high is 149 while their playoff-low is 92. Meanwhile, the Pacers' high is 138 and low is 94.

Game Style

What do the stats tell us about the style of basketball these teams are playing during the postseason?

Field Goal Split

• Looking at field goal splits during the playoffs, 38.6% of the Thunder's field goal attempts have come from three point range, leaving 61.4% from two. Meanwhile, the Pacers' opponents have taken 38.6% of their attempts from three and 61.4% from two.
• Comparatively, Indiana has taken 39.7% of shots from three, leaving 60.3% from two, while Oklahoma City's opponents have attempted 43.8% from three and 56.2% from two.

Beyond the Arc

• In terms of made three-pointers, the Thunder have shot 34.4% from deep throughout the postseason, compared to the Pacers who are making 39.2% of their attempts.
• On the opposite end, Oklahoma City has held opponents to 33.9% of their three-point attempts, while Indiana's opponents have hit 34.4% of their shots.

Ball Protection

• The Thunder are committing 12.1 turnovers per game in these playoffs, while the Pacers have forced 14.0 turnovers across the postseason.
• Flipping that script, Oklahoma City is forcing 18.1 turnovers, while Indiana is committing 14.1.

Crashing the Boards

• Oklahoma City is pulling down 43.9 rebounds per game during the playoffs, including 11.7 offensive boards. Conversely, Indiana's opponents are averaging 43.3 rebounds, 12.0 of which have come on the offensive end.
• Meanwhile, the Pacers have averaged 40.1 rebounds and 7.8 offensive rebounds, while the Thunder are allowing 45.1 and 11.9.

First Quarter Winner

Oklahoma City is -155 to win the first quarter, while Indiana is +130. Here are their first quarter records in this season's playoffs.

	Total	Home	Road	Favorite	Underdog
Oklahoma City	14-7-0	9-3-0	5-4-0	14-7-0	0-0-0
Indiana	9-10-2	7-2-1	2-8-1	5-1-0	4-9-2

First Half Winner

Oklahoma City is -186 to win the first half and Indiana is +154. Here are their first half records in this season's playoffs.

	Total	Home	Road	Favorite	Underdog
Oklahoma City	15-6-0	10-2-0	5-4-0	15-6-0	0-0-0
Indiana	11-10-0	8-2-0	3-8-0	5-1-0	6-9-0

HT/FT

Oklahoma City is -159 to complete the HT/FT double. Conversely, Indiana is +295.

• The Thunder have completed the HT/FT double in 61.5% of games since the beginning of the regular season, while the Pacers have completed the HT/FT double in 38.8% of games. During the playoffs, Oklahoma City has completed the HT/FT double in 11 of 21 games, while Indiana has completed the HT/FT double in eight of 21 contests.

To Go To Overtime

Thursday's matchup is +1600 to go to overtime.

• The Thunder have played in two games that went to overtime since the beginning of the regular season, while the Pacers have appeared in eight. Oklahoma City has played in one games that went to overtime during the postseason. Meanwhile, Indiana has appeared in two.

Last Time They Met

The Thunder recorded a 120-109 victory over the Pacers at Paycom Center on Monday. The Thunder now hold a 3-2 series lead. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander facilitated the offense on that day, finishing with 31 points and 10 assists.