NBA Prop Bets: Golden State Warriors vs Cleveland Cavaliers (April 2, 2026)

The Cleveland Cavaliers (47-29) face the Golden State Warriors (36-40) at Chase Center. Let's take a look at the NBA Prop Bets for Thursday's matchup. The Cavaliers are favored to win at -470, currently marked as 10.5-point favorites, while the Warriors are at +360. The total points line is set at 227.5, with OVER at -115 and UNDER at -105, meaning the implied expected score for the game is 119-108 Cleveland.

• The Warriors (-115) have a 32-43-1 ATS record this season, while the Cavaliers (-105) hold a record of 29-46-1.
• The Warriors have a 45-30-1 O/U record this season (meaning 45 games have gone over the total points line, 30 have gone under and one has resulted in a push). The Cavaliers have a 37-39-0 O/U record.

Scoring Insights

• The Warriors are averaging 114.9 points per game this season (19th in the league). Comparatively, the Cavaliers are averaging +4.5 more at 119.3 points (4th).
• Defensively, the Warriors are giving up 115.1 points per game this season (13th in the league), while the Cavaliers are giving up an average of 115.3 points (15th).

Game Style

What do the stats tell us about the style of basketball these teams are playing this season?

Pace

• The Warriors currently rank 16th for pace this season, recording 99.3 possessions per game. Alternatively, the Cavaliers sit 13th on that scale with 99.9 possessions per contest.

Field Goal Split

• Looking at field goal splits, 50.0% of the Warriors' field goal attempts come from three point range (1st in the league), leaving 50.0% from two. Meanwhile, the Cavaliers' opponents are taking 42.4% of their attempts from three (19th) and 57.6% from two.
• Comparatively, Cleveland takes 44.4% of shots from three (7th), leaving 55.6% from two, while Golden State's opponents are attempting 40.6% from three (10th) and 59.4% from two.

Beyond the Arc

• In terms of made three-pointers, the Warriors are shooting 35.7% from deep in 2025/26 (18th in the NBA), compared to the Cavaliers who are making 35.9% of their attempts (14th).
• On the opposite end, Golden State is holding opponents to 35.6% of their three-point attempts (16th), while Cleveland's opponents are hitting 37.0% of their shots (26th).

Ball Protection

• The Warriors are committing 15.8 turnovers per game this season, ranking 28th in the league, while the Cavaliers are forcing 15.3 turnovers (11th).
• Flipping that script, Golden State is forcing 16.0 turnovers (6th), while Cleveland is committing 13.9 (9th).

Crashing the Boards

• Golden State is pulling down 42.6 rebounds per game this season (21st in the league), including 11.4 offensive boards (14th). Conversely, Cleveland's opponents are averaging 43.4 rebounds (13th), 11.3 of which have come on the offensive end (15th).
• Meanwhile, the Cavaliers are averaging 44.3 rebounds (12th) and 11.8 offensive rebounds (T11th), while the Warriors are allowing 44.4 and 11.6, ranking 18th and 20th.

Back-to-backs

• Notably, the Cavaliers are playing the second leg of a back-to-back set.
• Cleveland holds a 7-6 W-L record on the second leg of a back-to-back this season, as well as a 4-9-0 ATS record and 7-6-0 O/U record.
• Additionally, Golden State has a 5-8 W-L record, 5-8-0 ATS record and 6-7-0 O/U record against teams playing the second leg of a back-to-back this season.

First Quarter Winner

Here are their first quarter records in 2025/26.

	Total	Home	Road	Favorite	Underdog
Golden State	34-38-4	16-19-2	18-19-2	22-21-4	12-17-0	7-3-0
Cleveland	40-32-4	16-20-2	24-12-2	34-24-3	6-8-1	7-3-0

First Half Winner

Here are their first half records in 2025/26.

	Total	Home	Road	Favorite	Underdog	Last 10
Golden State	40-36-0	20-17-0	20-19-0	28-19-0	12-17-0	4-6-0
Cleveland	38-37-1	19-19-0	19-18-1	33-27-1	5-10-0	5-5-0

HT/FT

Golden State is +425 to complete the HT/FT double. Conversely, Cleveland is -245.

• The Warriors have completed the HT/FT double in 36.8% of games this season, while the Cavaliers have completed the HT/FT double in 43.4% of games.

To Go To Overtime

Thursday's matchup is +2000 to go to overtime.

• The Warriors have played in five games that went to overtime this season, while the Cavaliers have appeared in three.

Both Teams 110+

• Both teams have scored 110+ points in 40 of Golden State's 76 games this season. Meanwhile, 46 of Cleveland's 76 games have seen both squads reach that number.

Last Time They Met

Golden State recorded an upset 99-94 victory over Cleveland at Rocket Arena when these teams last met on December 6. Despite being on the losing side, Donovan Mitchell was lights out from deep on that day, finishing with 29 points and seven triples. That result snapped the Cavaliers' four-game winning streak against the Warriors.