NBA Prop Bets: Milwaukee Bucks vs Boston Celtics (April 3, 2026)

The Boston Celtics (51-25) face the Milwaukee Bucks (30-46) at Fiserv Forum. Let's take a look at the NBA Prop Bets for Friday's matchup. The Celtics opened as 17.5-point favorites but the spread has since moved to 16.5, leaving the Celtics at -1800 and Bucks at +1000. The total points line is set at 216.5, with OVER at -115 and UNDER at -105, meaning the implied expected score for the game is 116-100 Boston.

The Bucks (-112) have a 34-42-0 ATS record this season, while the Celtics (-108) hold a record of 44-32-0.
The Bucks have a 34-42-0 O/U record this season (meaning 34 games have gone over the total points line and 42 have gone under). The Celtics have a 27-49-0 O/U record.

Scoring Insights

The Bucks are averaging 110.6 points per game this season (29th in the league). Comparatively, the Celtics are averaging 114.4 (21st).
Defensively, the Bucks are giving up 116.7 points per game this season (20th in the league), while the Celtics are giving up an average of 107.2 points (1st).

Game Style

What do the stats tell us about the style of basketball these teams are playing this season?

Pace

The Bucks currently rank 23rd for pace this season, recording 97.7 possessions per game. Alternatively, the Celtics sit 30th on that scale with 94.7 possessions per contest.

Field Goal Split

Looking at field goal splits, 45.1% of the Bucks' field goal attempts come from three point range (11th in the league), leaving 54.9% from two. Meanwhile, the Celtics' opponents are taking 45.2% of their attempts from three (26th) and 54.8% from two.
Comparatively, Boston takes 46.6% of shots from three (4th), leaving 53.4% from two, while Milwaukee's opponents are attempting a similarly high 45.1% from three (28th) and 54.9% from two.

Beyond the Arc

In terms of made three-pointers, the Bucks are shooting 38.6% from deep in 2025/26 (2nd in the NBA), compared to the Celtics who are making 36.3% of their attempts (9th).
On the opposite end, Milwaukee is holding opponents to 37.3% of their three-point attempts (28th), while Boston's opponents are hitting 35.8% of their shots (17th).

Ball Protection

The Bucks are committing 15.0 turnovers per game this season, ranking 20th in the league, while the Celtics are forcing 12.3 turnovers (29th).
Flipping that script, Milwaukee is forcing only 13.1 turnovers (25th), while Boston is committing just 12.3 (1st).

Crashing the Boards

Milwaukee is pulling down just 40.8 rebounds per game this season (28th in the league), including 8.8 offensive boards (30th). Conversely, Boston's opponents are averaging a paltry 41.5 rebounds (6th), 10.9 of which have come on the offensive end (7th).
Meanwhile, the Celtics are averaging 46.5 rebounds (4th) and 12.6 offensive rebounds (7th), while the Bucks are allowing 44.7 and 11.1, ranking 19th and 11th.

First Quarter Winner

Here are their first quarter records in 2025/26.

	Total	Home	Road	Favorite	Underdog
Milwaukee	28-44-4	14-22-2	14-22-2	12-13-1	16-31-3	1-9-0
Boston	47-25-4	21-15-1	26-10-3	32-18-3	15-7-1	7-3-0

First Half Winner

Here are their first half records in 2025/26.

	Total	Home	Road	Favorite	Underdog
Milwaukee	30-46-0	15-23-0	15-23-0	11-15-0	19-31-0	3-7-0
Boston	50-21-5	23-12-2	27-9-3	38-13-2	12-8-3	6-3-1

HT/FT

The Bucks have completed the HT/FT double in 25.0% of games this season, while the Celtics have completed the HT/FT double in 52.6% of games.

To Go To Overtime

The Bucks have played in three games that went to overtime this season, while the Celtics have appeared in one.

Both Teams 110+

Both teams have scored 110+ points in 32 of Milwaukee's 76 games this season. Meanwhile, 25 of Boston's 76 games have seen both squads reach that number.

Last Time They Met

Boston recorded a 108-81 blowout victory against Milwaukee at Fiserv Forum when these teams last met on March 2. Hugo Gonzalez cleaned the glass on that day, finishing with 16 rebounds, as well as 18 points and three steals.