NBA Prop Bets: Indiana Pacers vs Minnesota Timberwolves (April 7, 2026)

The Minnesota Timberwolves (46-32) face the Indiana Pacers (18-60) at Gainbridge Fieldhouse. Let's take a look at the NBA Prop Bets for Tuesday's matchup. The Timberwolves are favored to win at -800, currently marked as 12.5-point favorites, while the Pacers are at +550. The total points line is set at 231.5, with OVER at -112 and UNDER at -108, meaning the implied expected score for the game is 122-110 Minnesota.

• The Pacers (-110) have a 37-41-0 ATS record this season, while the Timberwolves (-110) hold a record of 34-44-0.
• The Pacers have a 40-38-0 O/U record this season (meaning 40 games have gone over the total points line and 38 have gone under). The Timberwolves have a 35-43-0 O/U record.

Scoring Insights

• The Pacers are averaging 112.5 points per game this season (27th in the league). Comparatively, the Timberwolves are averaging +5.0 more at 117.5 points (7th).
• Defensively, the Pacers are giving up a whopping 120.7 points per game this season (26th in the league), while the Timberwolves are giving up an average of 114.2 points (11th).

Game Style

What do the stats tell us about the style of basketball these teams are playing this season?

Pace

• The Pacers currently rank 8th for pace this season, recording 100.9 possessions per game. Alternatively, the Timberwolves sit 10th on that scale with 100.5 possessions per contest.

Field Goal Split

• Looking at field goal splits, 42.0% of the Pacers' field goal attempts come from three point range (16th in the league), leaving 58.0% from two. Meanwhile, the Timberwolves' opponents are taking 38.5% of their attempts from three (4th) and 61.5% from two.
• Comparatively, Minnesota takes 42.0% of shots from three (17th), leaving 58.0% from two, while Indiana's opponents are attempting 37.7% from three (3rd) and 62.3% from two.

Beyond the Arc

• In terms of made three-pointers, the Pacers are shooting 35.7% from deep in 2025/26 (17th in the NBA), compared to the Timberwolves who are making 36.9% of their attempts (6th).
• On the opposite end, Indiana is holding opponents to 35.7% of their three-point attempts (15th), while Minnesota's opponents are hitting 35.7% of their shots (14th).

Ball Protection

• The Pacers are committing 14.3 turnovers per game this season, ranking 14th in the league, while the Timberwolves are forcing 15.0 turnovers (12th).
• Flipping that script, Indiana is forcing 13.5 turnovers (22nd), while Minnesota is committing 14.9 (19th).

Crashing the Boards

• Indiana is pulling down 41.7 rebounds per game this season (26th in the league), including 9.9 offensive boards (25th). Conversely, Minnesota's opponents are averaging 43.8 rebounds (16th), 11.7 of which have come on the offensive end (21st).
• Meanwhile, the Timberwolves are averaging 44.5 rebounds (11th) and 11.1 offensive rebounds (17th), while the Pacers are allowing 46.6 and 11.2, ranking 28th and 14th.

First Quarter Winner

Here are their first quarter records in 2025/26.

	Total	Home	Road	Favorite	Underdog
Indiana	29-45-4	15-21-2	14-24-2	4-5-0	25-40-4	4-6-0
Minnesota	39-37-2	18-21-1	21-16-1	30-24-2	9-13-0	4-6-0

First Half Winner

Here are their first half records in 2025/26.

	Total	Home	Road	Favorite	Underdog
Indiana	27-50-1	12-25-1	15-25-0	4-5-0	23-45-1	4-6-0
Minnesota	41-33-4	21-18-1	20-15-3	28-25-3	13-8-1	7-2-1

HT/FT

Indiana is +750 to complete the HT/FT double. Conversely, Minnesota is -525.

• The Pacers have completed the HT/FT double in 15.4% of games this season, while the Timberwolves have completed the HT/FT double in 35.9% of games.

To Go To Overtime

Tuesday's matchup is +2500 to go to overtime.

• The Pacers have played in two games that went to overtime this season, while the Timberwolves have appeared in four.

Both Teams 110+

• Both teams have scored 110+ points in 42 of Indiana's 78 games this season. Meanwhile, 38 of Minnesota's 78 games have seen both squads reach that number.

Last Time They Met

Minnesota recorded a 114-110 victory over Indiana at Target Center when these teams last met on October 26. Despite being on the losing side, Pascal Siakam came up big on that day, scoring 33 points and adding 10 rebounds.