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NFL Prop Bets: Kansas City Chiefs vs Indianapolis Colts - Week 12

The Indianapolis Colts (8-2) face the Kansas City Chiefs (5-5) at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium for Week 12. Let's take a look at the NFL Prop Bets for Sunday's matchup. The Chiefs started the week as 3.0-point favorites but the spread has since moved to 4.5, leaving the Chiefs at -220 and Colts at +185.

The total points line is set at 49.5, with OVER at -115 and UNDER at -105, meaning the implied expected score for the game is 27-22 Kansas City.

  • The Colts (-118) have a 7-3-0 ATS record this season, while the Chiefs (-103) hold a record of 5-5-0.

Points on the board

  • The Colts are averaging 32.1 points per game this season (1st in the league). Comparatively, the Chiefs are averaging 25.4 (9th).
  • Defensively, the Colts are giving up 20.6 points per game this season (9th in the league), while the Chiefs are giving up an average of 18.1 points (4th).

Moving the chains

  • With an average of 396.9, the Colts rank 1st in the league for total yards per game. Comparatively, the Chiefs rank 7th with 364.2 yards per game.
  • In terms of yards allowed, the Colts are giving up 327.6 per game this season (19th in the league), an inferior number to the Chiefs, who are giving up an average of 296.8 (7th).

Ascendency in the air

  • The Colts have recorded 251.6 passing yards per game this season (3rd in the league). Comparatively, the Chiefs' defense has given up 196.8 passing yards per game (11th).
  • Meanwhile, the Chiefs have recorded 248.9 passing yards per game this season (5th in the league), while the Colts' defense has given up 235.3 passing yards per game (25th).

Advantage on the ground

  • Looking at the ground game, the Colts have recorded 145.3 rushing yards per game this season (3rd in the league). Conversely, the Chiefs are giving up 100.0 rushing yards per game (9th).
  • On the other hand, the Chiefs have recorded 115.3 rushing yards per game this season (16th in the league), while the Colts are giving up 92.3 rushing yards per game (5th).

Protecting the ball

  • Looking at their ability to force turnovers, the Colts have recorded 14 total takeaways this season (T7th in the league), while the Chiefs have failed to perform at the same level, recording 9 (T24th).
  • On offense, the Colts have recorded 12 total giveaways this season (T13th in the league), while the Chiefs have taken better care of the ball, recording 6 (T2nd).

First to Score

  • The Colts have scored first in eight of their 10 games this season.
  • The Chiefs have scored first in four of their 10 games this season.

Which team will score the first touchdown?

  • The Colts have recorded the first touchdown in nine of their 10 games this season.
  • The Chiefs have recorded the first touchdown in four of their 10 games this season.

First Scoring Play

    Play Frequency Odds
    Indianapolis Touchdown5 / 10
    Indianapolis Field Goal3 / 10
    Indianapolis Safety0 / 10
    Kansas City Touchdown3 / 10
    Kansas City Field Goal1 / 10
    Kansas City Safety0 / 10

Which team will get a quick start?

  • The Colts have been the first to score 10 points in nine of their 10 games this season.
  • The Chiefs have been the first to score 10 points in seven of their 10 games this season.

First Quarter Moneyline

  • The Colts have a 6-2-2 first quarter W/L/T record this season, while the Chiefs hold a record of 4-5-1.

Last Time They Met

The Colts recorded a 20-17 victory over the Chiefs at Lucas Oil Stadium when these teams last met in Week 3, 2022.