NBA Prop Bets: Toronto Raptors vs Atlanta Hawks (January 3, 2026)
The Atlanta Hawks (17-19) face the Toronto Raptors (20-15) at Scotiabank Arena. Let's take a look at the NBA Prop Bets for Saturday's matchup. The Raptors opened as 2.5-point favorites but the spread has since moved to 5.5, leaving the Raptors at -205 and Hawks at +170. The total points line is set at 232.5, with OVER at -112 and UNDER at -108, meaning the implied expected score for the game is 119-114 Toronto.
- The Hawks (-115) have an 18-18-0 ATS record this season, while the Raptors (-105) hold a record of 16-19-0.
- The Hawks have a 20-16-0 O/U record this season (meaning 20 games have gone over the total points line and 16 have gone under). The Raptors have a 13-22-0 O/U record.
Scoring Insights
- The Hawks are averaging 119.0 points per game this season (9th in the league). Comparatively, the Raptors are averaging only 113.8 (23rd).
- Defensively, the Hawks are giving up 119.5 points per game this season (24th in the league), while the Raptors are giving up an average of 112.5 points (4th).
Game Style
What do the stats tell us about the style of basketball these teams are playing this season?
Pace
- The Hawks currently rank 3rd for pace this season, recording 102.3 possessions per game. Alternatively, the Raptors sit 24th on that scale with 98.9 possessions per contest.
Field Goal Split
- Looking at field goal splits, 42.6% of the Hawks' field goal attempts come from three point range (11th in the league), leaving 57.4% from two. Meanwhile, the Raptors' opponents are taking 42.9% of their attempts from three (18th) and 57.1% from two.
- Comparatively, Toronto takes 37.7% of shots from three (24th), leaving 62.3% from two, while Atlanta's opponents are attempting 41.4% from three (20th) and 58.6% from two.
Beyond the Arc
- In terms of made three-pointers, the Hawks are shooting 37.2% from deep in 2025/26 (5th in the NBA), compared to the Raptors who are making 35.0% of their attempts (20th).
- On the opposite end, Atlanta is holding opponents to 35.6% of their three-point attempts (11th), while Toronto's opponents are hitting 33.8% of their shots (3rd).
Ball Protection
- The Hawks are committing 15.1 turnovers per game this season, ranking 17th in the league, while the Raptors are forcing 15.9 turnovers (7th).
- Flipping that script, Atlanta is forcing 15.9 turnovers (6th), while Toronto is committing 14.3 (13th).
Crashing the Boards
- Atlanta is pulling down 41.8 rebounds per game this season (25th in the league), including 10.0 offensive boards (27th). Conversely, Toronto's opponents are averaging 44.0 rebounds (16th), 11.4 of which have come on the offensive end (15th).
- Meanwhile, the Raptors are averaging 43.2 rebounds (22nd) and 11.4 offensive rebounds (16th), while the Hawks are allowing 46.2 and 12.2, ranking 26th and 25th.
Back-to-backs
- Notably, the Hawks are playing the second leg of a back-to-back set.
- Atlanta holds a 4-4 W-L record on the second leg of a back-to-back this season, as well as a 5-3-0 ATS record and 3-5-0 O/U record.
- Additionally, Toronto has a 3-3 W-L record, 3-3-0 ATS record and 1-5-0 O/U record against teams playing the second leg of a back-to-back this season.
First Quarter Winner
Atlanta is +114 to win the first quarter, while Toronto is -135. Here are their first quarter records in 2025/26.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta | 20-13-3 | 8-6-3 | 12-7-0 | 9-5-3 | 11-8-0 | 5-3-2 |
| Toronto | 17-16-2 | 8-10-0 | 9-6-2 | 10-10-1 | 7-6-1 | 5-5-0 |
First Half Winner
Atlanta is +136 to win the first half and Toronto is -162. Here are their first half records in 2025/26.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta | 17-18-1 | 7-10-0 | 10-8-1 | 10-7-0 | 7-11-1 | 5-5-0 |
| Toronto | 20-15-0 | 11-7-0 | 9-8-0 | 15-6-0 | 5-9-0 | 4-6-0 |
HT/FT
Atlanta is +205 to complete the HT/FT double. Conversely, Toronto is -125.
- The Hawks have completed the HT/FT double in 30.6% of games this season, while the Raptors have completed the HT/FT double in 45.7% of games.
To Go To Overtime
Saturday's matchup is +1200 to go to overtime.
- The Hawks have played in one game that went to overtime this season, while the Raptors have appeared in two.
Both Teams 110+
- Both teams have scored 110+ points in 22 of Atlanta's 36 games this season. Meanwhile, 15 of Toronto's 35 games have seen both squads reach that number.
Last Time They Met
Toronto recorded a 109-97 victory over Atlanta at State Farm Arena when these teams last met on November 7. The Raptors have now won four straight against the Hawks. Scottie Barnes was prominent on that day, recording 14 points, 10 rebounds, four assists and two blocks.
