NBA Prop Bets: Detroit Pistons vs Indiana Pacers (January 17, 2026)
The Indiana Pacers (10-32) face the Detroit Pistons (29-10) at Little Caesars Arena. Let's take a look at the NBA Prop Bets for Saturday's matchup. The Pistons opened as 12.5-point favorites but the spread has since moved to 15.5, leaving the Pistons at -950 and Pacers at +625. The total points line is set at 225.5, with OVER at -108 and UNDER at -112, meaning the implied expected score for the game is 120-105 Detroit.
- The Pacers (-108) have a 22-20-0 ATS record this season, while the Pistons (-112) hold a record of 21-18-0.
- The Pacers have a 16-26-0 O/U record this season (meaning 16 games have gone over the total points line and 26 have gone under). The Pistons have a 17-22-0 O/U record.
Scoring Insights
- The Pacers are averaging 111.0 points per game this season (28th in the league). Comparatively, the Pistons are averaging +6.6 more at 117.6 points (10th).
- Defensively, the Pacers are giving up 118.3 points per game this season (23rd in the league), while the Pistons are giving up an average of 111.1 points (4th).
Game Style
What do the stats tell us about the style of basketball these teams are playing this season?
Pace
- The Pacers currently rank 10th for pace this season, recording 100.5 possessions per game. Alternatively, the Pistons sit 13th on that scale with 100.2 possessions per contest.
Field Goal Split
- Looking at field goal splits, 40.8% of the Pacers' field goal attempts come from three point range (18th in the league), leaving 59.2% from two. Meanwhile, the Pistons' opponents are taking 42.9% of their attempts from three (13th) and 57.1% from two.
- Comparatively, Detroit takes only 35.3% of shots from three (27th), leaving 64.7% from two, while Indiana's opponents are attempting a similarly low 38.2% from three (3rd) and 61.8% from two.
Beyond the Arc
- In terms of made three-pointers, the Pacers are shooting 34.4% from deep in 2025/26 (25th in the NBA), compared to the Pistons who are making 35.0% of their attempts (19th).
- On the opposite end, Indiana is holding opponents to 33.8% of their three-point attempts (2nd), while Detroit's opponents are hitting 35.3% of their shots (11th).
Ball Protection
- The Pacers are committing 13.9 turnovers per game this season, ranking 6th in the league, while the Pistons are forcing 17.2 turnovers (2nd).
- Flipping that script, Indiana is forcing 14.2 turnovers (17th), while Detroit is committing 16.0 (29th).
Crashing the Boards
- Indiana is pulling down just 42.8 rebounds per game this season (24th in the league), including 10.9 offensive boards (20th). Conversely, Detroit's opponents are averaging a paltry 41.1 rebounds (4th), 11.5 of which have come on the offensive end (16th).
- Meanwhile, the Pistons are averaging an impressive 46.3 rebounds (4th) and 13.7 offensive rebounds (3rd), while the Pacers are allowing 47.2 and 11.3, ranking 28th and 10th.
Back-to-backs
- Notably, the Pacers are playing the second leg of a back-to-back set.
- Indiana holds a 2-4 W-L record on the second leg of a back-to-back this season, as well as a 3-3-0 ATS record and 1-5-0 O/U record.
- Additionally, Detroit has a 4-2 W-L record, 1-5-0 ATS record and 1-5-0 O/U record against teams playing the second leg of a back-to-back this season.
First Quarter Winner
Indiana is +260 to win the first quarter, while Detroit is -325. Here are their first quarter records in 2025/26.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indiana | 15-26-1 | 10-14-0 | 5-12-1 | 3-4-0 | 12-22-1 | 5-5-0 |
| Detroit | 23-16-0 | 11-9-0 | 12-7-0 | 20-11-0 | 3-5-0 | 6-4-0 |
First Half Winner
Indiana is +370 to win the first half and Detroit is -485. Here are their first half records in 2025/26.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indiana | 15-27-0 | 9-15-0 | 6-12-0 | 4-3-0 | 11-24-0 | 4-6-0 |
| Detroit | 28-11-0 | 14-6-0 | 14-5-0 | 22-9-0 | 6-2-0 | 7-3-0 |
HT/FT
Indiana is +1300 to complete the HT/FT double. Conversely, Detroit is -700.
- The Pacers have completed the HT/FT double in 19.0% of games this season, while the Pistons have completed the HT/FT double in 61.5% of games.
To Go To Overtime
Saturday's matchup is +2500 to go to overtime.
- The Pacers have played in one game that went to overtime this season, while the Pistons have appeared in two.
Both Teams 110+
- Both teams have scored 110+ points in 20 of Indiana's 42 games this season. Meanwhile, 21 of Detroit's 39 games have seen both squads reach that number.
Last Time They Met
Detroit recorded a 122-117 victory over Indiana at Gainbridge Fieldhouse when these teams last met on November 24. Cade Cunningham was influential on that day, recording 24 points, 11 rebounds and six assists.
