NBA Prop Bets: Atlanta Hawks vs Houston Rockets (January 29, 2026)
The Houston Rockets (28-17) face the Atlanta Hawks (24-25) at State Farm Arena. Let's take a look at the NBA Prop Bets for Thursday's matchup. The Rockets opened as 4.5-point favorites but the spread has since moved to 6.5, leaving the Rockets at -270 and Hawks at +220. The total points line is set at 224.5, with OVER at -115 and UNDER at -105, meaning the implied expected score for the game is 116-109 Houston.
- The Hawks (-108) have a 25-24-0 ATS record this season, while the Rockets (-112) hold a record of 21-24-0.
- The Hawks have a 25-24-0 O/U record this season (meaning 25 games have gone over the total points line and 24 have gone under). The Rockets have a 20-25-0 O/U record.
Scoring Insights
- The Hawks are averaging 117.7 points per game this season (7th in the league). Comparatively, the Rockets are averaging 116.3 (15th).
- Defensively, the Hawks are giving up a whopping 118.4 points per game this season (25th in the league), while the Rockets are giving up an average of 110.5 points (4th).
Game Style
What do the stats tell us about the style of basketball these teams are playing this season?
Pace
- The Hawks currently rank 2nd for pace this season, recording 102.3 possessions per game. Alternatively, the Rockets sit 28th on that scale with 96.2 possessions per contest.
Field Goal Split
- Looking at field goal splits, 43.1% of the Hawks' field goal attempts come from three point range (10th in the league), leaving 56.9% from two. Meanwhile, the Rockets' opponents are taking 40.0% of their attempts from three (6th) and 60.0% from two.
- Comparatively, Houston takes 33.9% of shots from three (29th), leaving 66.1% from two, while Atlanta's opponents are attempting 41.4% from three (21st) and 58.6% from two.
Beyond the Arc
- In terms of made three-pointers, the Hawks are shooting 37.3% from deep in 2025/26 (4th in the NBA), compared to the Rockets who are making 36.9% of their attempts (8th).
- On the opposite end, Atlanta is holding opponents to 35.4% of their three-point attempts (13th), while Houston's opponents are hitting 34.5% of their shots (4th).
Ball Protection
- The Hawks are committing 14.7 turnovers per game this season, ranking 17th in the league, while the Rockets are forcing 13.5 turnovers (26th).
- Flipping that script, Atlanta is forcing 16.0 turnovers (5th), while Houston is committing a potentially problematic 15.6 per contest (26th).
Crashing the Boards
- Atlanta is pulling down just 42.1 rebounds per game this season (25th in the league), including 9.9 offensive boards (25th). Conversely, Houston's opponents are averaging a paltry 39.1 rebounds (1st), 11.2 of which have come on the offensive end (11th).
- Meanwhile, the Rockets are averaging an impressive 48.9 rebounds (1st) and 16.0 offensive rebounds (1st), while the Hawks are allowing 46.3 and 11.5, ranking 26th and T15th.
Back-to-backs
- Notably, the Hawks are playing the second leg of a back-to-back set.
- Atlanta holds a 4-5 W-L record on the second leg of a back-to-back this season, as well as a 5-4-0 ATS record and 4-5-0 O/U record.
- Additionally, Houston has a 5-3 W-L record, 4-4-0 ATS record and 5-3-0 O/U record against teams playing the second leg of a back-to-back this season.
- Notably, the Rockets are playing the second leg of a back-to-back set.
- Notably, the Hawks and Rockets are playing the second leg of a back-to-back set.
First Quarter Winner
Atlanta is +136 to win the first quarter, while Houston is -162. Here are their first quarter records in 2025/26.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta | 23-23-3 | 9-10-3 | 14-13-0 | 11-8-3 | 12-15-0 | 2-8-0 |
| Houston | 30-14-1 | 10-9-1 | 20-5-0 | 28-12-1 | 2-2-0 | 6-4-0 |
First Half Winner
Atlanta is +160 to win the first half and Houston is -192. Here are their first half records in 2025/26.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta | 24-24-1 | 9-13-0 | 15-11-1 | 13-9-0 | 11-15-1 | 6-4-0 |
| Houston | 23-20-2 | 10-10-0 | 13-10-2 | 22-18-1 | 1-2-1 | 2-7-1 |
HT/FT
Atlanta is +285 to complete the HT/FT double. Conversely, Houston is -155.
- The Hawks have completed the HT/FT double in 34.7% of games this season, while the Rockets have completed the HT/FT double in 37.8% of games.
To Go To Overtime
Thursday's matchup is +1400 to go to overtime.
- The Hawks have played in one game that went to overtime this season, while the Rockets have appeared in six.
Both Teams 110+
- Both teams have scored 110+ points in 28 of Atlanta's 49 games this season. Meanwhile, 17 of Houston's 45 games have seen both squads reach that number.
Last Time They Met
Houston recorded a 121-114 victory over Atlanta at Toyota Center when these teams last met on March 25, 2025. Jalen Green came up big on that day, scoring 32 points and adding 11 rebounds.
