NBA Prop Bets: Milwaukee Bucks vs Sacramento Kings (November 1, 2025)

The Sacramento Kings (1-4) face the Milwaukee Bucks (4-1) at Fiserv Forum. Let's take a look at the NBA Prop Bets for Saturday's matchup. The Bucks opened as 6.5-point favorites but the spread has since moved to 5.5, leaving the Bucks at -235 and Kings at +190. The total points line is set at 233.5, with OVER at -106 and UNDER at -115, meaning the implied expected score for the game is 120-114 Milwaukee.

• The Kings (-110) have a 1-3-1 ATS record this season, while the Bucks (-110) hold a record of 5-0-0.
• The Kings have a 3-2-0 O/U record this season (meaning three games have gone over the total points line and two have gone under). The Bucks have a 4-1-0 O/U record.

Scoring Insights

• The Kings are averaging 111.0 points per game this season (28th in the league). Comparatively, the Bucks are averaging +10.8 more at 121.8 points (7th).
• Defensively, the Kings are giving up 116.8 points per game this season (16th in the league), while the Bucks are giving up an average of 115.0 points (10th).

Game Style

What do the stats tell us about the style of basketball these teams are playing this season?

Pace

• The Kings currently rank 15th for pace this season, recording 101.1 possessions per game. Alternatively, the Bucks sit 7th on that scale with 102.9 possessions per contest.

Field Goal Split

• Looking at field goal splits, 35.1% of the Kings' field goal attempts come from three point range (25th in the league), leaving 64.9% from two. Meanwhile, the Bucks' opponents are taking 41.8% of their attempts from three (15th) and 58.2% from two.
• Comparatively, Milwaukee takes 44.6% of shots from three (12th), leaving 55.4% from two, while Sacramento's opponents are attempting 39.6% from three (12th) and 60.4% from two.

Beyond the Arc

• In terms of made three-pointers, the Kings are shooting 37.2% from deep in 2025/26 (12th in the NBA), compared to the Bucks who are making 39.6% of their attempts (8th).
• On the opposite end, Sacramento is holding opponents to 33.5% of their three-point attempts (9th), while Milwaukee's opponents are hitting 35.3% of their shots (13th).

Ball Protection

• The Kings are committing 13.8 turnovers per game this season, ranking 5th in the league, while the Bucks are forcing 16.2 turnovers (T9th).
• Flipping that script, Sacramento is forcing 16.8 turnovers (6th), while Milwaukee is committing 14.8 (9th).

Crashing the Boards

• Sacramento is pulling down 37.4 rebounds per game this season (30th in the league), including 8.2 offensive boards (29th). Conversely, Milwaukee's opponents are averaging 46.0 rebounds (22nd), 11.8 of which have come on the offensive end (17th).
• Meanwhile, the Bucks are averaging 41.2 rebounds (T23rd) and 8.0 offensive rebounds (30th), while the Kings are allowing 47.6 and 12.2, ranking 25th and 21st.

First Quarter Winner

Here are their first quarter records in 2025/26.

	Total	Home	Road	Favorite	Underdog
Sacramento	3-2-0	1-1-0	2-1-0	1-1-0	2-1-0	7-3-0
Milwaukee	5-0-0	3-0-0	2-0-0	1-0-0	4-0-0	6-3-1

First Half Winner

Here are their first half records in 2025/26.

	Total	Home	Road	Favorite	Underdog
Sacramento	4-0-1	1-0-1	3-0-0	1-0-1	3-0-0	5-4-1
Milwaukee	2-3-0	2-1-0	0-2-0	1-0-0	1-3-0	3-7-0

HT/FT

Sacramento is +250 to complete the HT/FT double. Conversely, Milwaukee is -169.

• The Kings have completed the HT/FT double in 20.0% of games this season, while the Bucks have completed the HT/FT double in 40.0% of games.

To Go To Overtime

Saturday's matchup is +1500 to go to overtime.

• The Kings have played in seven games that went to overtime since the beginning of last season, while the Bucks have appeared in four.

Both Teams 110+

• Both teams have scored 110+ points in three of Sacramento's five games this season. Meanwhile, five of Milwaukee's five games have seen both squads reach that number.

Last Time They Met

Milwaukee recorded a 114-108 victory over Sacramento at Golden 1 Center when these teams last met on March 22, 2025. Giannis Antetokounmpo came up big on that day, scoring 32 points and adding 17 rebounds.