NBA Prop Bets: Indiana Pacers vs Golden State Warriors (November 1, 2025)

The Golden State Warriors (4-2) face the Indiana Pacers (0-5) at Gainbridge Fieldhouse. Let's take a look at the NBA Prop Bets for Saturday's matchup. The Warriors opened as 9.5-point favorites but the spread has since moved to 10.5, leaving the Warriors at -480 and Pacers at +370. The total points line is set at 231.5, with OVER at -110 and UNDER at -110, meaning the implied expected score for the game is 121-110 Golden State.

• The Warriors (-106) have a 4-2-0 ATS record this season, while the Pacers (-115) hold a record of 3-2-0.
• The Warriors have a 5-1-0 O/U record this season (meaning five games have gone over the total points line and one has gone under). The Pacers have a 2-3-0 O/U record.

Scoring Insights

• The Warriors are averaging 119.0 points per game this season (T12th in the league). Comparatively, the Pacers are averaging only 112.2 (26th).
• Defensively, the Warriors are giving up 116.0 points per game this season (13th in the league), while the Pacers are giving up an average of 123.6 points (T26th).

Game Style

What do the stats tell us about the style of basketball these teams are playing this season?

Pace

• The Warriors currently rank 17th for pace this season, recording 100.4 possessions per game. Alternatively, the Pacers sit 12th on that scale with 101.9 possessions per contest.

Field Goal Split

• Looking at field goal splits, 49.1% of the Warriors' field goal attempts come from three point range (8th in the league), leaving 50.9% from two. Meanwhile, the Pacers' opponents are taking 35.9% of their attempts from three (4th) and 64.1% from two.
• Comparatively, Indiana takes 43.9% of shots from three (5th), leaving 56.1% from two, while Golden State's opponents are attempting 42.2% from three (14th) and 57.8% from two.

Beyond the Arc

• In terms of made three-pointers, the Warriors are shooting 39.8% from deep in 2025/26 (7th in the NBA), compared to the Pacers who are making an underwhelming 31.2% of their attempts (29th).
• On the opposite end, Golden State is holding opponents to 34.4% of their three-point attempts (11th), while Indiana's opponents are hitting 31.1% of their shots (2nd).

Ball Protection

• The Warriors are committing 17.3 turnovers per game this season, ranking 28th in the league, while the Pacers are forcing 12.6 turnovers (28th).
• Flipping that script, Golden State is forcing 16.2 turnovers (T11th), while Indiana is committing 14.0 (T6th).

Crashing the Boards

• Golden State is pulling down 41.5 rebounds per game this season (22nd in the league), including 9.5 offensive boards (T24th). Conversely, Indiana's opponents are averaging 51.8 rebounds (30th), 10.2 of which have come on the offensive end (T4th).
• Meanwhile, the Pacers are averaging 49.8 rebounds (2nd) and 15.0 offensive rebounds (T3rd), while the Warriors are allowing 40.0 and 8.5, ranking 6th and 3rd.

Back-to-backs

• Notably, the Pacers are playing the second leg of a back-to-back set.
• Indiana holds a 6-9 W-L record on the second leg of a back-to-back since the beginning of last season, as well as a 4-10-1 ATS record and 7-8-0 O/U record.
• Additionally, Golden State had a 12-6 W-L record, 10-8-0 ATS record and 8-10-0 O/U record against teams playing the second leg of a back-to-back last season.

First Quarter Winner

Here are their first quarter records in 2025/26.

	Total	Home	Road	Favorite	Underdog
Golden State	2-3-1	1-2-0	1-1-1	1-3-1	1-0-0	3-5-2
Indiana	2-2-1	1-1-0	1-1-1	0-0-0	2-2-1	4-5-1

First Half Winner

Here are their first half records in 2025/26.

	Total	Home	Road	Favorite	Underdog	Last 10
Golden State	2-4-0	1-2-0	1-2-0	2-3-0	0-1-0	4-6-0
Indiana	2-3-0	0-2-0	2-1-0	0-0-0	2-3-0	6-4-0

HT/FT

Golden State is -360 to complete the HT/FT double. Conversely, Indiana is +550.

• The Warriors have completed the HT/FT double in 33.3% of games this season, while the Pacers have completed the HT/FT double in 0.0% of games.

To Go To Overtime

Saturday's matchup is +1800 to go to overtime.

• The Warriors have played in three games that went to overtime since the beginning of last season, while the Pacers have appeared in nine.

Both Teams 110+

• Both teams have scored 110+ points in four of Golden State's six games this season. Meanwhile, two of Indiana's five games have seen both squads reach that number.

Last Time They Met

Indiana recorded a 108-96 victory over Golden State at Gainbridge Fieldhouse when these teams last met on January 10, 2025. Tyrese Haliburton facilitated the offense on that day, finishing with 25 points and 10 assists. The Pacers have now won three straight against the Warriors.