NBA Prop Bets: Boston Celtics vs Houston Rockets (November 1, 2025)

The Houston Rockets (2-2) face the Boston Celtics (3-3) at TD Garden. Let's take a look at the NBA Prop Bets for Saturday's matchup. The Rockets opened as 4.5-point favorites but the spread has since moved to 5.5, leaving the Rockets at -220 and Celtics at +180. The total points line is set at 227.5, with OVER at -108 and UNDER at -113, meaning the implied expected score for the game is 116-111 Houston.

  • The Rockets (-115) have a 49-42-2 ATS record since the beginning of last season, while the Celtics (-106) hold a record of 45-53-1 across the same span.
  • The Rockets have a 50-41-2 O/U record since the beginning of last season (meaning 50 games have gone over the total points line, 41 have gone under and two have resulted in a push). The Celtics have a 44-54-1 O/U record.

Scoring Insights

  • The Rockets have scored 114.9 points per game since the beginning of last season (13th in the league). Comparatively, the Celtics have averaged 116.1 over the same span (8th).
  • Defensively, the Rockets have allowed just 110.1 points per game since the beginning of last season (6th in the league), while the Celtics have given up an average of 107.2 points over that span (2nd).

Game Style

What do the stats tell us about the style of basketball these teams have played since the beginning of last season?

Pace

  • The Rockets rank 18th for pace since the beginning of last season, recording 98.5 possessions per game. Alternatively, the Celtics sit 30th on that scale with 95.8 possessions per contest.

Field Goal Split

  • Looking at field goal splits, 38.2% of the Rockets' field goal attempts have come from three point range since the beginning of last season (21st in the league), leaving 61.8% from two. Meanwhile, the Celtics' opponents are taking 41.9% of their attempts from three (11th) and 58.1% from two.
  • Comparatively, Boston has taken 53.4% of shots from three (1st), leaving 46.6% from two, while Houston's opponents have attempted 39.5% from three (3rd) and 60.5% from two.

Beyond the Arc

  • In terms of made three-pointers, the Rockets have shot 35.5% from deep since the beginning of last season (21st in the NBA), compared to the Celtics who are making 36.6% of their attempts (12th).
  • On the opposite end, Houston has held opponents to 35.8% of their three-point attempts (11th), while Boston's opponents have hit 34.6% of their shots (3rd).

Ball Protection

  • The Rockets are committing 14.0 turnovers per game since the beginning of last season, ranking 11th in the league, while the Celtics have forced 13.0 turnovers (27th) across the same period.
  • Flipping that script, Houston has forced 14.3 turnovers (16th), while Boston has committed 11.9 (2nd).

Crashing the Boards

  • Houston is pulling down 48.4 rebounds per game since the beginning of last season (1st in the league), including 14.6 offensive boards (1st). Conversely, Boston's opponents are averaging 43.7 rebounds (13th), 10.9 of which have come on the offensive end (11th).
  • Meanwhile, the Celtics have averaged 45.3 rebounds (6th) and 11.5 offensive rebounds (11th), while the Rockets are allowing 41.9 and 10.6, ranking 3rd and 7th.

Back-to-backs

  • Notably, the Celtics are playing the second leg of a back-to-back set.
  • Boston holds a 9-5 W-L record on the second leg of a back-to-back since the beginning of last season, as well as a 7-7-0 ATS record and 5-9-0 O/U record.
  • Additionally, Houston has an 8-8 W-L record, 6-10-0 ATS record and 9-7-0 O/U record against teams playing the second leg of a back-to-back since the beginning of last season.

First Quarter Winner

Here are their first quarter records since the beginning of last season.

    Total Home Road Favorite Underdog
    Houston 58-30-5 27-17-3 31-13-2 38-21-3 20-9-2
    Boston 64-32-3 32-15-2 32-17-1 61-28-3 3-4-0

First Half Winner

Here are their first half records since the beginning of last season.

    Total Home Road Favorite Underdog
    Houston 56-34-3 26-19-2 30-15-1 37-23-2 19-11-1
    Boston 66-28-5 32-16-1 34-12-4 64-23-5 2-5-0

HT/FT

Houston is -159 to complete the HT/FT double. Conversely, Boston is +245.

  • The Rockets have completed the HT/FT double in 48.4% of games since the beginning of last season, while the Celtics have completed the HT/FT double in 56.6% of games.

To Go To Overtime

Saturday's matchup is +1600 to go to overtime.

  • The Rockets have played in five games that went to overtime since the beginning of last season, while the Celtics have appeared in seven.

Both Teams 110+

  • Both teams have scored 110+ points in 37 of Houston's 93 games since the beginning of last season. Meanwhile, 31 of Boston's 99 games have seen both squads reach that number.

Last Time They Met

Houston recorded a 114-112 victory over Boston at TD Garden when these teams last met on January 27, 2025. Amen Thompson was influential on that day, recording 33 points, nine rebounds and four assists. That result snapped the Celtics' three-game winning streak against the Rockets.

NBA Injury News – Boston Celtics vs Houston Rockets (November 1, 2025)

Houston Rockets - Injury Report
Dorian Finney-Smith (Ankle) – Out

The Rockets listed Finney-Smith as Out for Saturday's (Nov. 1) game against the Celtics.

Fred VanVleet (ACL) – Out For Season

The Rockets said on Monday (Sept. 22) that VanVleet suffered a torn ACL and may be out for the entire 2025-26 campaign, per Shams Charania of ESPN.

Boston Celtics - Injury Report
Derrick White (Neck) – Day To Day

The Boston Celtics listed White as Probable for Saturday's (Nov. 1) game against Houston.

Payton Pritchard (Ankle) – Day To Day

The Boston Celtics listed Pritchard as Probable for Saturday's (Nov. 1) game against Houston.

Jayson Tatum (Achilles) – Out

The Celtics have not ruled Tatum out for the 2025-26 season, ESPN's Shams Charania reported on the Pat McAfee Show on Thursday (Oct. 9).