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NFL Prop Bets: Pittsburgh Steelers vs Atlanta Falcons - Week 1

The Atlanta Falcons (0-0) face the Pittsburgh Steelers (0-0) at Acrisure Stadium for Week 1. Let's take a look at the NFL Prop Bets for Sunday's matchup. The Steelers are favored to win at -177, currently marked as 3.0-point favorites, while the Falcons are at +145.

The total points line is set at 42.5, with OVER at -110 and UNDER at -110, meaning the implied expected score for the game is 23-20 Pittsburgh.

  • The Falcons (+100) had an 8-9-0 ATS record last season, while the Steelers (-121) held a record of 9-9-0.
  • The Falcons had an 8-8-1 O/U record last season (meaning eight games went over the total points line, eight went under and one resulted in a push). The Steelers had a 9-8-1 O/U record last season.

Points on the board

  • The Falcons scored 20.8 points per game last season (24th in the league). Comparatively, the Steelers averaged 23.4 (15th).
  • Defensively, the Falcons conceded 23.6 points per game last season (19th in the league), while the Steelers gave up an average of 22.8 points (17th).

Moving the chains

  • With an average of 333.0, the Falcons ranked 14th in the league for total yards per game last season. Comparatively, the Steelers ranked 25th with just 305.6 yards per game.
  • In terms of yards allowed, the Falcons gave up 326.6 per game last season (15th in the league), outperforming the Steelers, who have allowed an average of 356.9 (26th).

Ascendency in the air

  • The Falcons averaged 207.2 passing yards per game last season (19th in the league). Comparatively, the Steelers' defense gave up 243.9 passing yards per game (29th) last season.
  • Meanwhile, the Steelers averaged 202.4 passing yards per game last season (22nd in the league), while the Falcons' defense gave up 200.4 passing yards per game (13th) during the 2025 season.

Advantage on the ground

  • Looking at the ground game, the Falcons recorded 125.8 rushing yards per game last season (8th in the league). However, the Steelers were effective at stuffing the run, allowing just 113.1 yards per game (13th).
  • On the other hand, the Steelers averaged 103.3 rushing yards per game last season (26th in the league), while the Falcons gave up 126.2 rushing yards per game (24th).

Protecting the ball

  • Looking at their ability to force turnovers, the Falcons recorded 23 total takeaways last season (T7th in the league), while the Steelers recorded 27 (4th).
  • On offense, the Falcons recorded 18 total giveaways last season (T13th in the league), while the Steelers recorded 15 (T4th).

First to Score

  • The Falcons scored first in nine of their 17 games last season.
  • The Steelers also scored first in nine of their 18 games.

Which team will score the first touchdown?

  • The Falcons recorded the first touchdown in seven of their 17 games last season.
  • The Steelers recorded the first touchdown in nine of their 17 games last season.

First Scoring Play

    Play Frequency Odds
    Atlanta Touchdown4 / 17
    Atlanta Field Goal5 / 17
    Atlanta Safety0 / 17
    Pittsburgh Touchdown4 / 17
    Pittsburgh Field Goal5 / 17
    Pittsburgh Safety0 / 17

Which team will get a quick start?

  • The Falcons were the first to score 10 points in eight of their 17 games last season.
  • The Steelers were the first to score 10 points in 12 of their 17 games last season.

First Quarter Moneyline

  • The Falcons had a 7-5-5 first quarter W/L/T record last season, while the Steelers held a record of 9-6-3.

Last Time They Met

The Steelers recorded an 18-10 victory over the Falcons at Mercedes-Benz Stadium when these teams last met in Week 1, 2024. The Steelers have now won five straight against the Falcons.