home team icon
away team icon

NFL Prop Bets: Kansas City Chiefs vs Denver Broncos - Week 1

The Denver Broncos (0-0) face the Kansas City Chiefs (0-0) at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium for Week 1. Let's take a look at the NFL Prop Bets for Monday's matchup. The Chiefs are favored to win at -155, currently marked as 2.5-point favorites, while the Broncos are at +130.

The total points line is set at 42.5, with OVER at -110 and UNDER at -110, meaning the implied expected score for the game is 22-20 Kansas City.

  • The Broncos (+100) had a 9-10-0 ATS record last season, while the Chiefs (-121) held a record of 6-11-0.
  • The Broncos had an 8-11-0 O/U record last season (meaning eight games went over the total points line and 11 went under). The Chiefs had a 4-13-0 O/U record last season.

Points on the board

  • The Broncos scored 23.6 points per game last season (14th in the league). Comparatively, the Chiefs averaged 21.3 (21st).
  • Defensively, the Broncos conceded 18.3 points per game last season (3rd in the league), while the Chiefs gave up an average of 19.3 points (6th).

Moving the chains

  • With an average of 342.6, the Broncos ranked 10th in the league for total yards per game last season. Comparatively, the Chiefs ranked 20th with just 320.6 yards per game.
  • In terms of yards allowed, the Broncos gave up 278.2 per game last season (2nd in the league), while the Chiefs have allowed an average of 301.5 (10th).

Ascendency in the air

  • The Broncos averaged 223.9 passing yards per game last season (11th in the league). Comparatively, the Chiefs' defense gave up 195.8 passing yards per game (12th) last season.
  • Meanwhile, the Chiefs averaged 214.1 passing yards per game last season (16th in the league), while the Broncos' defense gave up 187.2 passing yards per game (7th) during the 2025 season.

Advantage on the ground

  • Looking at the ground game, the Broncos recorded 118.7 rushing yards per game last season (16th in the league). However, they may find it difficult to reach that number against a Chiefs defense which ranked 9th for opponent rushing yards, allowing 105.7 per game.
  • On the other hand, the Chiefs averaged 106.6 rushing yards per game last season (25th in the league), while the Broncos gave up 91.1 rushing yards per game (2nd).

Protecting the ball

  • Looking at their ability to force turnovers, the Broncos recorded 14 total takeaways last season (T26th in the league), while the Chiefs recorded 14 (T26th).
  • Looking at their ability to force turnovers, both teams recorded 14 total takeaways last season (T26th in the league).
  • On offense, the Broncos recorded 17 total giveaways last season (T11th in the league), while the Chiefs recorded 15 (T4th).

First to Score

  • The Broncos scored first in eight of their 19 games last season.
  • The Chiefs scored first in seven of their 17 games last season.

Which team will score the first touchdown?

  • The Broncos recorded the first touchdown in 11 of their 19 games last season.
  • The Chiefs recorded the first touchdown in seven of their 17 games last season.

First Scoring Play

    Play Frequency Odds
    Denver Touchdown2 / 19
    Denver Field Goal6 / 19
    Denver Safety0 / 19
    Kansas City Touchdown5 / 17
    Kansas City Field Goal2 / 17
    Kansas City Safety0 / 17

Which team will get a quick start?

  • The Broncos were the first to score 10 points in 11 of their 19 games last season.
  • The Chiefs were the first to score 10 points in 10 of their 17 games last season.

First Quarter Moneyline

  • The Broncos had a 9-7-3 first quarter W/L/T record last season, while the Chiefs held a record of 7-8-2.

Last Time They Met

The Broncos recorded a 20-13 victory over the Chiefs at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium when these teams last met in Week 17, 2025. The Broncos have now won three straight against the Chiefs. That result snapped the Chiefs' nine-game winning streak against the Broncos at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium.