home team icon
away team icon

NFL Prop Bets: Houston Texans vs Buffalo Bills - Week 1

The Buffalo Bills (0-0) face the Houston Texans (0-0) at Reliant Stadium for Week 1. Let's take a look at the NFL Prop Bets for Sunday's matchup. The Bills are favored to win at -115, currently marked as 1.5-point favorites, while the Texans are at -106.

The total points line is set at 45.5, with OVER at -106 and UNDER at -115, meaning the implied expected score for the game is 24-22 Buffalo.

  • The Bills (+100) had a 9-10-0 ATS record last season, while the Texans (-121) held a record of 10-9-0.
  • The Bills had a 10-8-1 O/U record last season (meaning 10 games went over the total points line, eight went under and one resulted in a push). The Texans had a 7-11-1 O/U record last season.

Points on the board

  • The Bills scored 28.3 points per game last season (T4th in the league). Comparatively, the Texans averaged 23.8 (13th).

Moving the chains

  • With an average of 376.3, the Bills ranked 4th in the league for total yards per game last season. Comparatively, the Texans ranked 18th with just 327.0 yards per game.
  • In terms of yards allowed, the Bills gave up 293.1 per game last season (7th in the league), while the Texans have allowed an average of 277.2 (1st).

Ascendency in the air

  • The Bills averaged 216.6 passing yards per game last season (15th in the league). Comparatively, the Texans' defense gave up 183.5 passing yards per game (6th) last season.
  • Meanwhile, the Texans averaged 218.1 passing yards per game last season (14th in the league), while the Bills' defense gave up 156.9 passing yards per game (1st) during the 2025 season.

Advantage on the ground

  • Looking at the ground game, the Bills recorded an impressive 159.6 rushing yards per game last season (1st in the league). However, the Texans were equally strong at stifling rushing plays, allowing just 93.7 yards per game (4th).
  • On the other hand, the Texans averaged 108.9 rushing yards per game last season (22nd in the league), while the Bills gave up 136.2 rushing yards per game (28th).

Protecting the ball

  • Looking at their ability to force turnovers, the Bills recorded 20 total takeaways last season (T15th in the league), failing to perform to the same level as the Texans, who recorded 29 (3rd).
  • On offense, the Bills recorded 19 total giveaways last season (T15th in the league), while the Texans took better care of the ball, recording 12 (2nd).

First to Score

  • The Bills scored first in eight of their 19 games last season.
  • The Texans scored first in 12 of their 19 games last season.

Which team will score the first touchdown?

  • The Bills recorded the first touchdown in 10 of their 19 games last season.
  • The Texans also recorded the first touchdown in 10 of their 17 games.

First Scoring Play

    Play Frequency Odds
    Buffalo Touchdown6 / 19
    Buffalo Field Goal2 / 19
    Buffalo Safety0 / 19
    Houston Touchdown5 / 17
    Houston Field Goal7 / 17
    Houston Safety0 / 17

Which team will get a quick start?

  • The Bills were the first to score 10 points in nine of their 19 games last season.
  • The Texans were the first to score 10 points in 14 of their 17 games last season.

First Quarter Moneyline

  • The Bills had a 10-6-3 first quarter W/L/T record last season, while the Texans held a record of 11-8-0.

Last Time They Met

The Texans recorded an upset 23-19 victory over the Bills at Reliant Stadium when these teams last met in Week 12, 2025. The Texans have now won six straight at Reliant Stadium against the Bills.